Resources featuring Cristina Stoian

A new day might rise for India Middle-East Europe economic corridor

The India-Middle East-Europe Economic Corridor (IMEC) is a major new trade and infrastructure initiative with the potential to reshape regional connectivity. Signed on September 9th, 2023, the IMEC aims to bolster economic development by fostering connectivity and integration between Asia, the Persian Gulf, and Europe. Shared economic interests could provide a multilateral basis for dialogue […]

The long is even longer

Predicting the future of oil prices – Lessons from history’s biggest oil shocks

From its early discovery in the 19th century to its role as a geopolitical asset in the modern world, oil has consistently shaped global economies and influenced the outcome of wars. Historical oil price spikes, from the oil embargo of the 1970s to the Gulf Wars, have had profound effects on global markets, inflation, and […]

Treasuries should benefit from highly probable September cuts

As of the last policy decision in July 2024, the Federal Reserve maintained its interest rates at a high of 5.25% to 5.50%. However, it is expected that the U.S. Federal Reserve will lower interest rates by 25 basis points after each of its final three meetings in 2024, according to the majority of Reuters-surveyed economists who said a recession is unlikely. Inflation data (currently 2.9 %) and the August employment numbers (significantly weaker than initially estimated) will guide the Fed’s hand in September. Chair Powell stressed in a 2023 speech that the Fed “is navigating by the stars under cloudy skies.”